Market Update for Week 2021-11-22

Published: 2021-11-29

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All of the round data referenced below can be downloaded from here. The data is part of a project that downloads round data periodically and uploads the csv.

Another volatile week

We had another volatile week in crypto. BNB started in the h500s, dropped as low as m500s briefly touched m600s, only to come back down and end the week in mh500s. All-in-all BNB fared relatively well compared to other crypto. Bitcoin started the week out at nearly $60k and ended in lm50s, for a total drop of nearly 10%.

I won't pretend to know what's driving crypto prices, but as always I'll remind everyone to regularly take profits from the game or at least diversify.

More stoppages

This won't come as a surprise to any regular reader of this blog, but we saw a number of stoppages this week. We saw a total of 5 stoppages although they were short and quickly resolved.

EpochStart Time
226052021-11-23 08:04:09
226062021-11-23 09:28:48
226072021-11-23 10:48:03
226122021-11-23 22:28:24
227512021-11-24 20:46:45

At least they're trying to get it back up quickly.

I mentioned last time but stoppages are annoying but they're usually followed by light volume, which is both a risk and opportunity. If you're building a bot that trades, you may want to consider stoppages and hold back because you might be betting into an shallow pool, hurting your payout. On the other hand, there may be opportunity as others bet into a shallow pool

Thanksgiving turkey

We had some very large rounds this week in terms of size. The largest rounds were on 2021-11-25 (Thanksgiving in the US), although they would be late night Wednesday or very early Thursday depending on the timezone. My theory is someone was home for Thanksgiving the night before and threw down some stacks. Maybe he was flexing to his former high-school friends.

Either way, here are the biggest rounds of the week
EpochTimestampUTC TimeTotal amount BNB
2280916378227942021-11-25 01:46:34166.884699
2281416378243362021-11-25 02:12:16127.928520
2281916378258782021-11-25 02:37:58117.539345
2281716378252612021-11-25 02:27:4198.688385
2282116378265062021-11-25 02:48:2698.283270
2281616378249552021-11-25 02:22:3596.283732
2282316378271262021-11-25 02:58:4687.037876
2281116378234112021-11-25 01:56:5184.940670
2224916375576782021-11-22 00:07:5875.027720

A good chunk of of the volume came from account 0x7324b637f95691c652859deaa733f4d5c3f67103. This year I am grateful for those that throw down large helping us little folks just trying to edge out the 3% house take. For that we over at BSC Predict salute you.


Speaking of losers...

Winners and Losers

Here are this weeks winners:

accountgames playedwonwon USDWinnings Even MoneyAverage bet size
0xc8923536f8c1a348f15e87315740bb5933aeb4c969 89.4350,976.26 13.78 5.97
0x3644d5bb8fdf6219adac7ef11eea8193a5305642159 58.5433,371.30 26.67 2.81
0xfe8200ec1b27f7fae4b1c6b44b087d93aea6c822277 42.8424,423.49 33.19 1.40
0x8b8b033643feec90cad13fddd82a17db0fade8db236 36.9921,085.54 3.89 2.53
0x63f5653727c7f23cc4ace5854c69da9d4c88888850 32.5218,540.55 7.41 2.70
0x41a923f3b5915baa17589dca095336545b40cd07199 31.1917,779.57 13.83 1.98
0x712fdd09ac64d5776077e2b813fcd1b0431f527851 31.1817,773.16 9.24 2.66
0xe91448d1d0e283d9951196d70a642a39b3816f7b535 29.5216,829.29 2.95 1.12
0x74c67cf221312ea8ea919f3ee982f4b3798c57e5171 25.9814,809.03 12.04 1.02
0xea1cebd819208434059afa05d436e26504025891294 22.1412,620.68 -2.50 0.42

You may recognize the top winner of the week, as our friend 0xc89, who showed up in our 2021-10-23, 2021-11-01 and 2021-11-08 recaps, usually on the wrong side of winners and losers, although he was #2 on the winner board on 2021-11-08 recap.

Well, this week he reclaims the winner throne with a staggering performance of winning 89 BNB. It goes to show you persistence pays off. Swing for the fences, eventually you'll get there. How is his performance in total?


Turns out he's down over $350k. Do not do whatever he does.

My dream is to interview this guy, so if anyone knows how I can get in contact with him, drop me an email.

Which brings us to our losers.

fromgames playedwonwon USDWinnings Even MoneyAverage bet size
0x7324b637f95691c652859deaa733f4d5c3f6710312 -182.78-104,188 -8.62 31.0
0x7f9f833f28ae5f5afa7a9714c9958cde3ec6f7aa334 -104.89-59,791 -60.82 1.57
0xc50382d876f266d6ac4abf7f188bf8bb2b699ddf5 -95.28 -54,313 -1.90 50.0
0x3b6d6d1b7aa126e6b7aa35881b305c685817e9c6337 -60.54 -34,509 -34.27 2.09
0xfaaca6db387d3a2824ede72ddafa9857384c75ac342 -59.47 -33,902 -31.15 1.24
0xefc4476012054e657e26375ec6aa3d29096cf36f122 -44.57 -25,409 -10.72 3.10
0x8f96c870365ae1ec6f3f5d2cb7320958d3d2d00983 -40.92 -23,326 -4.80 1.20
0x7aa9a3b0590d76d089e8cdc99af884a58a083039169 -36.52 -20,821 -16.24 2.42
0x0ed3626ea420a209fda1742d52fa05975996226d346 -33.63 -19,170 -25.85 1.20
0x90bae1f76ec11ea12410ac14188caff57a5aa24e235 -32.63 -18,599 -12.87 1.15

No surprises here. Our Thanksgiving turkey topped the list with a total loss of ~$100k. Special shoutout to 0xc503 who managed to make our list with only 5 bets in a very short period of time.


As you know, we at BSC Predict have nothing but love for our losers.

As always, feel free to reach out with questions or comments or want my to highlight anything different on my weekly market recaps. If you like what you read and want to subscribe to receive an email when a new post is published, click here.

Good luck and bet responsibly!